Aggravation at Agrigento
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
899 | 1000 | 36% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
953 | 1007 | 42% | 2009-02-24 | Won |
924 | 1074 | 30% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 971.2 vs 1013.5 has a 43.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).