Aggravation at Agrigento
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
937 | 1004 | 40% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
925 | 1072 | 30% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
925 | 917 | 51% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
1050 | 1054 | 49% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
1149 | 865 | 84% | 2009-02-24 | Won |
901 | 1302 | 9% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
1065 | 1042 | 53% | 2001-04-20 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 993.1 vs 1036.6 has a 43.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).