Aggravation at Agrigento
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 953 | 41% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
| 930 | 1038 | 35% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 985 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1174 | 1102 | 60% | 2009-02-24 | Won |
| 902 | 1234 | 13% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 1005 | 59% | 2001-04-20 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 982.3 vs 1044.3 has a 41.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).