Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1100 | 59% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 996 | 46% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 1150 | 848 | 85% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 902 | 1006 | 35% | 2020-12-19 | Won |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1020 | 79% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1039 | 65% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 1999-04-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1133 | 41% | 1999-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.3 vs 970.4 has a 67.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).