Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2026-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1152 | 46% | 2023-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1018 | 67% | 2023-03-15 | | Lost |
| 975 | 998 | 47% | 2021-02-08 | | Won |
| 1152 | 940 | 77% | 2021-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2020-12-19 | | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2020-12-18 | | Won |
| 1166 | 939 | 79% | 2020-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1203 | 1156 | 57% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1262 | 18% | 2010-06-10 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1035 | 56% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2002-09-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 1999-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 1999-03-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1004.3 has a 62.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).