Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1099 | 59% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 870 | 83% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 902 | 1025 | 33% | 2020-12-19 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1057 | 1034 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1042 | 65% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 1999-04-27 | Won |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 1999-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1111.7 vs 965.3 has a 69.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).