Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1191 | 1084 | 65% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1018 | 74% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1011 | 51% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 941 | 77% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 902 | 972 | 40% | 2020-12-19 | Won |
| 1139 | 972 | 72% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1082 | 71% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1072 | 1283 | 23% | 2010-06-10 | Won |
| 1057 | 1036 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1043 | 64% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 1999-04-27 | Won |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 1999-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1113.9 vs 998 has a 66.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).