Denouement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1204 | 32% | 2022-11-09 | Won |
| 963 | 1140 | 27% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1187 | 63% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2018-08-01 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-07-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-29 | Won |
| 1283 | 1149 | 68% | 1998-03-07 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1140 | 57% | 1996-06-15 | Won |
| 1173 | 866 | 85% | 1996-02-17 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1146.1 vs 1111.5 has a 54.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).