First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1007 | 43% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 959 | 1176 | 22% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 1098 | 991 | 65% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1053 | 52% | 2003-12-15 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1068.7 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).