First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1019 | 43% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 959 | 1141 | 26% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 1058 | 1014 | 56% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1080.6 has a 44.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).