First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1006 | 43% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 958 | 1190 | 21% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 1117 | 947 | 73% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2003-12-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1054.8 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).