First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (4 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 12
Defender wins (Italian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 1003 | 45% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
960 | 1197 | 20% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1008.8 vs 1070 has a 41.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).