Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 950 | 70% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1191 | 961 | 79% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1163 | 953 | 77% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 986 | 972 | 52% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 972 | 1027 | 42% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1029 | 44% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1328 | 1110 | 78% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2006-01-07 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1111 vs 1010.2 has a 64.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).