Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 982 | 75% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 875 | 79% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1183 | 954 | 79% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 953 | 70% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 986 | 1008 | 47% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 1008 | 1026 | 47% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1040 | 42% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1333 | 1110 | 78% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1186 | 805 | 90% | 2006-01-07 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1115.4 vs 996.5 has a 66.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).