Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 962 | 72% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 904 | 904 | 50% | 2025-09-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1138 | 930 | 77% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1090 | 953 | 69% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 986 | 992 | 49% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 992 | 1026 | 45% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1037 | 43% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1274 | 1110 | 72% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1002.4 has a 60.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).