The Getaway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 1119 | 33% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 2016-11-28 | Lost |
| 961 | 1220 | 18% | 2016-09-05 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1099 | 54% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-03-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2004-11-24 | Lost |
| 1152 | 949 | 76% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 1999-06-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 1999-02-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 923 | 66% | 1996-10-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1071 has a 45.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).