Forest Fighting in Latvia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1143 | 53% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-07-14 | Won |
| 970 | 900 | 60% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
| 1165 | 979 | 74% | 2022-05-24 | Won |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-09-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 988 | 44% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1019 | 65% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1064 | 43% | 2018-02-12 | Lost |
| 942 | 1206 | 18% | 2017-09-22 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1050 | 49% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 993 | 56% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 958 | 69% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1069 | 42% | 2012-06-14 | Won |
| 1232 | 1190 | 56% | 2011-11-23 | Lost |
| 1015 | 968 | 57% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2008-12-05 | Lost |
| 1047 | 999 | 57% | 2008-02-03 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2007-05-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1011 | 51% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 866 | 84% | 2000-10-05 | Tied |
| 1209 | 1023 | 74% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1064 | 1027 | 55% | 1999-05-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-08-27 | Lost |
| 1291 | 1264 | 54% | 1998-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1045.7 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).