Forest Fighting in Latvia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (21 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 77
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-14 | Won |
1063 | 902 | 72% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
904 | 1017 | 34% | 2022-05-24 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
916 | 1131 | 22% | 2019-09-27 | Lost |
1059 | 1013 | 57% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
1077 | 1083 | 49% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
1013 | 1104 | 37% | 2018-02-12 | Lost |
987 | 1175 | 25% | 2017-09-22 | Lost |
1108 | 1057 | 57% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
988 | 992 | 49% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Lost |
1093 | 1070 | 53% | 2012-06-14 | Won |
1307 | 1190 | 66% | 2011-11-23 | Lost |
1093 | 1127 | 45% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2008-12-05 | Lost |
1012 | 999 | 52% | 2008-02-03 | Lost |
979 | 1012 | 45% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
1142 | 856 | 84% | 2000-10-05 | Tied |
1057 | 1040 | 52% | 1999-05-07 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1049.7 has a 49.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).