Forest Fighting in Latvia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-14 | Won |
| 969 | 903 | 59% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1164 | 43% | 2022-05-24 | Won |
| 847 | 950 | 36% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2019-09-27 | Lost |
| 1055 | 931 | 67% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1047 | 55% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 1140 | 32% | 2018-02-12 | Lost |
| 892 | 1259 | 11% | 2017-09-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1055 | 47% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 990 | 1007 | 48% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 956 | 71% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1070 | 42% | 2012-06-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 1190 | 67% | 2011-11-23 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1101 | 37% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 931 | 60% | 2008-12-05 | Lost |
| 971 | 999 | 46% | 2008-02-03 | Lost |
| 976 | 1011 | 45% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 1129 | 856 | 83% | 2000-10-05 | Tied |
| 1218 | 1026 | 75% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1048 | 1053 | 49% | 1999-05-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1044.9 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).