Thorne In Your Side
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (13 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2023-11-21 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-08-30 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-10-26 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2018-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2004-11-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2004-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 832 | 85% | 2003-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2001-12-09 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2000-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2000-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1043.2 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).