Objective Exodus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (17 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 52
Defender wins (German): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1091 | 35% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 893 | 1043 | 30% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1193 | 25% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1125 | 986 | 69% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1082 | 52% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 1219 | 1015 | 76% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2014-01-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1282 | 19% | 2011-07-30 | Lost |
| 938 | 1001 | 41% | 2011-06-30 | Won |
| 1120 | 1014 | 65% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1014 | 46% | 2009-02-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 978 | 71% | 2004-10-24 | Won |
| 1210 | 1077 | 68% | 2004-04-27 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1082 | 48% | 2002-08-31 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1030.4 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).