Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (11 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 55
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 991 | 921 | 60% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1141 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1098 | 39% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1122 | 42% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1098 | 54% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1072.1 vs 1065.2 has a 50.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).