Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1030 | 53% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1045 | 49% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1090 | 1013 | 61% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1146 | 965 | 74% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 1078 | 1035 | 56% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1031 | 50% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 949 | 75% | 2003-06-07 | Won |
| 833 | 1065 | 21% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 827 | 1150 | 13% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1032 | 65% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1062.7 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).