Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1104 | 37% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1045 | 51% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1199 | 1013 | 74% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 966 | 63% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1128 | 41% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 847 | 1241 | 9% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 829 | 1148 | 14% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1103.1 has a 38.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).