Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1085 | 41% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1045 | 48% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1101 | 1013 | 62% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 965 | 69% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1057 | 1186 | 32% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 1036 | 53% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1270 | 21% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 949 | 75% | 2003-06-07 | Won |
| 830 | 1177 | 12% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1170 | 52% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 827 | 1149 | 14% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1032 | 65% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1081 has a 44.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).