The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (10 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1197 | 1182 | 52% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1135 | 59% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 901 | 1118 | 22% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1296 | 985 | 86% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1206 | 980 | 79% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 980 | 1098 | 34% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 996 | 51% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 1128 | 856 | 83% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
| 1128 | 1069 | 58% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1113.2 vs 1051.5 has a 58.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).