The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1258 | 1127 | 68% | 2021-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 1159 | 64% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1097 | 25% | 2020-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 987 | 79% | 2016-03-25 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2014-03-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2006-04-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2006-03-10 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-02-07 | | Won |
| 1156 | 866 | 84% | 2003-07-24 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2002-08-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1115.4 vs 1055.8 has a 58.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).