The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1091 | 1234 | 31% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1073 | 1030 | 56% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 909 | 957 | 43% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 870 | 922 | 43% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1413 | 985 | 92% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1106 | 43% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1060 | 45% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1175 | 28% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1068 | 1329 | 18% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1042 | 54% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1179 | 30% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1156 | 1001 | 71% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1070 | 69% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1247 | 1115 | 68% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1089.3 vs 1084.3 has a 50.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).