The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (15 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1027 | 53% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 967 | 956 | 52% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 1085 | 1184 | 36% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 941 | 922 | 53% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1423 | 985 | 93% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 1053 | 1123 | 40% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1207 | 26% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 1274 | 22% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 973 | 67% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1219 | 1017 | 76% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1073 | 69% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1294 | 1180 | 66% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1108.1 vs 1086.1 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).