L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 163 (36 on the archive and 127 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 80
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1052 | 54% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1019 | 993 | 54% | 2025-02-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2025-02-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2025-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 972 | 55% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1144 | 904 | 80% | 2023-10-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1093 | 39% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1012 | 980 | 55% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 989 | 965 | 53% | 2020-01-27 | Lost |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 969 | 927 | 56% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1055 | 67% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1056 | 999 | 58% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 927 | 63% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1072 | 930 | 69% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 965 | 980 | 48% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1159 | 875 | 84% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 1023 | 1250 | 21% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1092 | 65% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 997 | 1007 | 49% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
| 1126 | 980 | 70% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1089 | 27% | 2008-09-14 | Lost |
| 904 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 1200 | 24% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 832 | 942 | 35% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 832 | 65% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1052 | 58% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 827 | 68% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 827 | 982 | 29% | 2001-01-11 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1045 | 73% | 1995-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1015.8 has a 51.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).