L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Belgian): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 997 | 56% | 2025-02-12 | Lost |
| 997 | 1038 | 44% | 2025-02-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1038 | 57% | 2025-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1009 | 45% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1048 | 51% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 904 | 80% | 2023-10-19 | Won |
| 1040 | 1093 | 42% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 995 | 56% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-01-27 | Lost |
| 995 | 1143 | 30% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 949 | 928 | 53% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 999 | 60% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1034 | 60% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 926 | 63% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 939 | 71% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 995 | 53% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1115 | 881 | 79% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 968 | 1250 | 16% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1092 | 58% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 996 | 987 | 51% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1125 | 29% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 995 | 68% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1064 | 30% | 2008-09-14 | Lost |
| 903 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 1146 | 30% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1061 | 56% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 827 | 68% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 827 | 982 | 29% | 2001-01-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1036 | 74% | 1995-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 1017.4 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).