First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1030 | 71% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1213 | 1143 | 60% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 919 | 68% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1152 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 1055 | 42% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 891 | 1031 | 31% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 1208 | 34% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1152 | 41% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 1086.3 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).