First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1017 | 71% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1203 | 1190 | 52% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 941 | 56% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1118 | 1140 | 47% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1019 | 1134 | 34% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 884 | 1032 | 30% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 1209 | 26% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1140 | 43% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1100.4 has a 44.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).