First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1030 | 71% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1207 | 1152 | 58% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 885 | 72% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1152 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1080 | 43% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 940 | 1030 | 37% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1093 | 1208 | 34% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1152 | 41% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1093.6 vs 1086.1 has a 51.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).