First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 1032 | 72% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 1144 | 57% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 918 | 65% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1151 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 1100 | 37% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 898 | 1031 | 32% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1059 | 1208 | 30% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1151 | 41% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1078.3 vs 1091.9 has a 48.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).