First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1017 | 58% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1245 | 1243 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1046 | 924 | 67% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1118 | 1140 | 47% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1077 | 1130 | 42% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 956 | 1023 | 40% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1209 | 28% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1140 | 43% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1082 vs 1103.3 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).