First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 21
Defender wins (British): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1018 | 66% | 2023-11-06 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1216 | 43% | 2019-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 950 | 65% | 2019-10-09 | | Won |
| 1118 | 1141 | 47% | 2017-10-04 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1147 | 40% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 940 | 1022 | 38% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1209 | 26% | 2005-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2002-11-02 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1105.5 has a 44.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).