First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1201 | 1018 | 74% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1179 | 1200 | 47% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1045 | 918 | 68% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 1140 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 1098 | 42% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 879 | 1031 | 29% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1073 | 1208 | 31% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1089 | 1140 | 43% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1081.1 vs 1094.1 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).