Asking for Trouble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (8 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1021 | 48% | 2022-10-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1048 | 48% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1060 | 52% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 893 | 87% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 1146 | 931 | 78% | 2014-09-26 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1159 | 43% | 2005-02-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 982 | 44% | 2004-12-04 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1009.5 has a 59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).