Erstwhile Allies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (10 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (Vichy French): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 996 | 37% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1087 | 58% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 796 | 67% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 1400 | 920 | 94% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1091 | 949 | 69% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
| 985 | 974 | 52% | 2007-03-23 | Won |
| 1083 | 1100 | 48% | 2005-10-30 | Won |
| 1138 | 1149 | 48% | 2005-10-28 | Won |
| 1148 | 890 | 82% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 983.8 has a 63.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).