The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1181 | 24% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1007 | 964 | 56% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1138 | 1046 | 63% | 2023-01-27 | Won |
| 934 | 986 | 43% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 952 | 1139 | 25% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 955 | 1011 | 42% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1190 | 46% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 1216 | 34% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1196 | 1216 | 47% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1109 | 1012 | 64% | 2018-01-14 | Lost |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1012 | 51% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1310 | 16% | 2014-09-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1099 | 48% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1077 | 1064 | 52% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 968 | 67% | 2012-05-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 1011 | 52% | 2010-09-03 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-03-02 | Won |
| 1228 | 1148 | 61% | 2008-10-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1013 | 53% | 2008-10-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1040 | 51% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
| 944 | 1021 | 39% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2007-07-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2007-01-20 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
| 965 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1082.2 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).