The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1116 | 49% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 951 | 61% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2023-01-27 | Won |
| 927 | 986 | 42% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 952 | 1137 | 26% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1193 | 46% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 1219 | 50% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1013 | 77% | 2018-01-14 | Lost |
| 1038 | 976 | 59% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1012 | 54% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1282 | 18% | 2014-09-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1099 | 48% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1086 | 1064 | 53% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 968 | 67% | 2012-05-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1038 | 1032 | 51% | 2010-09-03 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-03-02 | Won |
| 1228 | 1148 | 61% | 2008-10-26 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1013 | 64% | 2008-10-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1035 | 51% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
| 957 | 1021 | 41% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2007-07-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2007-01-20 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
| 965 | 1029 | 41% | 2006-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1079.9 has a 46.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).