The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1135 | 47% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1044 | 951 | 63% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 2023-01-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 978 | 59% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 1163 | 23% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 946 | 949 | 50% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1268 | 36% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1189 | 1219 | 46% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1181 | 1013 | 72% | 2018-01-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1011 | 57% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1242 | 21% | 2014-09-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1096 | 969 | 68% | 2012-05-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 949 | 65% | 2010-09-03 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-03-02 | Won |
| 1228 | 1145 | 62% | 2008-10-26 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1012 | 65% | 2008-10-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1037 | 50% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
| 949 | 1021 | 40% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2007-07-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1100 | 34% | 2007-01-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1050 | 41% | 2006-11-24 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1034 | 41% | 2006-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1076.4 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).