Marders not Martyrs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 219 (52 on the archive and 167 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 105
Defender wins (German): 113
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-09-08 | Won |
| 933 | 1020 | 38% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 1252 | 19% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1042 | 43% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 1112 | 31% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1239 | 892 | 88% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-03-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1164 | 22% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 889 | 77% | 2021-08-09 | Lost |
| 950 | 1102 | 29% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 1023 | 55% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1212 | 42% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 960 | 985 | 46% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2016-06-02 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2016-01-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2016-01-12 | Lost |
| 991 | 984 | 51% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 991 | 984 | 51% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 922 | 984 | 41% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2013-01-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1037 | 54% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1073 | 1103 | 46% | 2012-01-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 1024 | 61% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 940 | 879 | 59% | 2011-06-20 | Won |
| 927 | 1072 | 30% | 2010-09-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1007 | 42% | 2010-08-23 | Lost |
| 919 | 936 | 48% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 996 | 1094 | 36% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-03-20 | Tied |
| 982 | 1012 | 46% | 2008-09-02 | Won |
| 1094 | 960 | 68% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 975 | 1132 | 29% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 1001 | 1235 | 21% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-10-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2007-09-18 | Won |
| 1083 | 1176 | 37% | 2007-06-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 1041 | 1185 | 30% | 2006-12-02 | Won |
| 1056 | 1098 | 44% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-11-14 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2006-09-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1044 | 46% | 2006-09-15 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1022 | 42% | 2006-09-05 | Won |
| 893 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1030.4 vs 1057.3 has a 46.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).