Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Romanian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 923 | 72% | 2026-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1046 | 63% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 950 | 999 | 43% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1131 | 42% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 921 | 1117 | 24% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1026.3 has a 55.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).