Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Romanian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1055 | 39% | 2026-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1015 | 67% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 970 | 999 | 46% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1125 | 985 | 69% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 985 | 1125 | 31% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1099 | 27% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053.3 vs 1034.5 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).