Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Romanian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1130 | 43% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1130 | 1016 | 66% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 999 | 55% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1117 | 39% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1117 | 44% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1072 | 56% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1078 | 29% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1031.6 has a 56.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).