Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Romanian): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2026-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1117 | 53% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1011 | 999 | 52% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1143 | 1112 | 54% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1143 | 46% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1143 | 34% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1029 | 66% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1146 | 22% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1344 | 16% | 2010-11-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1100.5 has a 45.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).