Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1082 | 1131 | 43% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
1131 | 1055 | 61% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
994 | 1001 | 49% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
1049 | 1144 | 37% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
1144 | 1049 | 63% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
929 | 1008 | 39% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1064.4 has a 48.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).