Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (11 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 996 | 52% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1011 | 1038 | 46% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1139 | 989 | 70% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1139 | 31% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 945 | 1206 | 18% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1206 | 982 | 78% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1046 | 57% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1030 | 49% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1400 | 1296 | 65% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1296 | 18% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 1101.5 has a 47.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).