Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (11 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 1037 | 46% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1002 | 72% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 1158 | 23% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1064 | 54% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1118 | 37% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1413 | 1329 | 62% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1329 | 17% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1086.5 vs 1114.4 has a 45.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).