Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1108 | 998 | 65% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 966 | 1108 | 31% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1230 | 16% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 989 | 64% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1052 | 47% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1070 | 1050 | 53% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1434 | 1231 | 76% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1231 | 27% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1094.7 has a 48.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).