Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 998 | 62% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 979 | 1081 | 36% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 1260 | 14% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1089 | 50% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1075 | 43% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1047 | 53% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1423 | 1252 | 73% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1252 | 24% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1088.2 vs 1107 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).