Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 1041 | 43% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1126 | 998 | 68% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1174 | 21% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1060 | 66% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1030 | 59% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1073 | 44% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1050 | 51% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1434 | 1239 | 75% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1239 | 26% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1082.5 vs 1097.4 has a 47.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).