Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (10 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 39
Defender wins (Italian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1311 | 11% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1182 | 25% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1003 | 1138 | 31% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 944 | 57% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1154 | 28% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1094 | 85% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
| 1400 | 982 | 92% | 2007-03-31 | Won |
| 1311 | 917 | 91% | 2007-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1109.5 vs 1100.2 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).