Sherman Marches West
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (53 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 72
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
960 | 1000 | 44% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
1000 | 960 | 56% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
1008 | 985 | 53% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
1000 | 908 | 63% | 2021-11-25 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
999 | 999 | 50% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
999 | 999 | 50% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-07-26 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
984 | 1061 | 39% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-07-29 | Lost |
1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
998 | 1016 | 47% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
995 | 1000 | 49% | 2016-08-14 | Tied |
1137 | 1070 | 60% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
899 | 1000 | 36% | 2015-12-18 | Lost |
1000 | 934 | 59% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
1168 | 1195 | 46% | 2015-08-23 | Won |
1000 | 1194 | 25% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
1008 | 929 | 61% | 2014-12-15 | Lost |
923 | 923 | 50% | 2014-08-05 | Lost |
990 | 916 | 60% | 2013-06-16 | Lost |
1040 | 1070 | 46% | 2013-04-05 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2013-01-04 | Won |
1135 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
939 | 1008 | 40% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
883 | 904 | 47% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
1194 | 899 | 85% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
1008 | 926 | 62% | 2010-05-31 | Lost |
1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2009-06-27 | Won |
1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2008-12-12 | Lost |
1199 | 995 | 76% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
1040 | 1016 | 53% | 2008-02-18 | Tied |
939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-06-30 | Lost |
939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Won |
939 | 939 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1006 vs 1002.2 has a 50.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).