Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1080 | 38% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 851 | 970 | 34% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 995 | 1040 | 44% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 971 | 999 | 46% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1092 | 999 | 63% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1144 | 48% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1190 | 46% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1023 | 57% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 954 | 1040 | 38% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1018 | 48% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 756 | 986 | 21% | 2020-01-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1120 | 1110 | 51% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1046 | 59% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 992 | 70% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1130 | 1147 | 48% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 915 | 1019 | 35% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1233 | 30% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1194 | 55% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 970 | 60% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1060.3 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).