Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1065 | 43% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 889 | 970 | 39% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 1015 | 1039 | 47% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 971 | 1041 | 40% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1041 | 64% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1162 | 48% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1152 | 51% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1038 | 45% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 754 | 978 | 22% | 2020-01-20 | Lost |
| 978 | 754 | 78% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1123 | 1162 | 44% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1162 | 1009 | 71% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 954 | 76% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 982 | 69% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 1198 | 20% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 917 | 1028 | 35% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1194 | 69% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 960 | 65% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1062.1 has a 49.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).