A Handful of Howdy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 885 | 79% | 2026-02-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1144 | 33% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 933 | 65% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1243 | 968 | 83% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1082 | 58% | 2022-02-09 | Won |
| 989 | 1066 | 39% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1054 | 64% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1028 | 47% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1004 | 53% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 1018 | 46% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 989 | 1004 | 48% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1059 | 839 | 78% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
| 1203 | 1213 | 49% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1213 | 1203 | 51% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1140 | 1204 | 41% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 985 | 53% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1006 | 985 | 53% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2011-02-05 | Won |
| 1344 | 1344 | 50% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1059 | 1182 | 33% | 2009-04-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 919 | 67% | 2008-09-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 1013 | 56% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-28 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1004 | 79% | 2007-10-15 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1084.6 vs 1042.7 has a 56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).