A Handful of Howdy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (24 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1104 | 1100 | 51% | 2026-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1142 | 33% | 2025-03-08 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-01-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2022-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-02-09 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1134 | 53% | 2020-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-04-06 | | Lost |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2020-03-29 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-03-22 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-02-20 | | Won |
| 1062 | 839 | 78% | 2019-09-22 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1289 | 30% | 2017-02-20 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1138 | 70% | 2017-02-20 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-10-19 | | Won |
| 1008 | 985 | 53% | 2013-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 985 | 53% | 2013-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2011-02-05 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2010-06-26 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1182 | 33% | 2009-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 919 | 62% | 2008-09-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2008-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1028.2 has a 55.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).