A Handful of Howdy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1065 | 44% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 1007 | 937 | 60% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1243 | 982 | 82% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1082 | 58% | 2022-02-09 | Won |
| 989 | 910 | 61% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1138 | 52% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1012 | 46% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1012 | 986 | 54% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1002 | 46% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 986 | 56% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 840 | 79% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 1279 | 32% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1279 | 1150 | 68% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1138 | 1203 | 41% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 1023 | 986 | 55% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1023 | 986 | 55% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 969 | 59% | 2011-02-05 | Won |
| 1072 | 1177 | 35% | 2009-04-04 | Lost |
| 1085 | 919 | 72% | 2008-09-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-28 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2007-10-15 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1027.4 has a 56.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).