Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1002 | 55% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 964 | 1174 | 23% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 1057 | 44% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2018-05-30 | Won |
| 1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1212 | 946 | 82% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1055 | 42% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 968 | 59% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1072.5 has a 45.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).