Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1050 | 46% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 907 | 1132 | 21% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1184 | 28% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1139 | 35% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 1026 | 39% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1051 | 52% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1080.3 has a 42.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).