Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1069 | 45% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 896 | 1145 | 19% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1082 | 1038 | 56% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2018-05-30 | Won |
| 1017 | 1141 | 33% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 994 | 1147 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1026 | 44% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1052 | 45% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1080.3 has a 43.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).