Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 909 | 1149 | 20% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1064 | 1057 | 51% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1176 | 1124 | 57% | 2018-05-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1154 | 31% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 964 | 1026 | 41% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 968 | 60% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1047.6 has a 48.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).