Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 995 | 56% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 988 | 1167 | 26% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1023 | 1057 | 45% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2018-05-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1190 | 27% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1007 | 73% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 1110 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 959 | 1055 | 37% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1019 | 969 | 57% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1072.4 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).