Cavalry Brigade Model
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16  
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
          Scenario Balance Over Time
  
  
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome | 
|---|
| 1008 | 928 | 61% | 2024-03-03 | Won | 
| 1033 | 927 | 65% | 2023-01-26 | Lost | 
| 1057 | 1202 | 30% | 2020-07-19 | Lost | 
| 1139 | 1215 | 39% | 2016-12-01 | Won | 
| 1330 | 1151 | 74% | 2013-11-08 | Won | 
| 1045 | 1152 | 35% | 2013-11-08 | Lost | 
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2013-10-08 | Lost | 
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2013-07-02 | Lost | 
| 1051 | 1215 | 28% | 2013-05-25 | Lost | 
| 1125 | 1028 | 64% | 2010-10-08 | Lost | 
| 1028 | 1048 | 47% | 2008-10-01 | Lost | 
| 1195 | 1035 | 72% | 2008-01-26 | Won | 
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Won | 
| 1068 | 1105 | 45% | 2008-01-26 | Lost | 
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2007-10-01 | Won | 
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2006-12-23 | Won | 
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1077.4 vs 1091.5 has a 47.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).