Cavalry Brigade Model
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 902 | 63% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
| 1033 | 921 | 66% | 2023-01-26 | A | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-12-01 | | Won |
| 1348 | 1136 | 77% | 2013-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2013-10-08 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2013-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1215 | 27% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2010-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2008-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2008-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2008-01-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1077 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2007-10-01 | | Won |
| 1169 | 1022 | 70% | 2006-12-23 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1060.9 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).