Diabolical Shrapnel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2021-06-28 | | Won |
| 905 | 976 | 40% | 2021-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-06-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2017-02-08 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2012-11-18 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2012-08-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2007-10-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 995.3 vs 1060.9 has a 40.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).