The Grist Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (NKPA): 3
Defender wins (American): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1027 | 36% | 2021-09-12 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1056 | 49% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 1046 | 930 | 66% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1012 | 65% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2018-04-23 | Lost |
| 958 | 1266 | 15% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.2 vs 1051.5 has a 44.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).