Eviction Notice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (40 on the archive and 168 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 108
Defender wins (German): 100
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 979 | 46% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1107 | 55% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1045 | 45% | 2024-01-25 | Lost |
| 910 | 1178 | 18% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 997 | 994 | 50% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 1063 | 1048 | 52% | 2021-01-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1035 | 71% | 2018-10-11 | Won |
| 1005 | 893 | 66% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1078 | 975 | 64% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 968 | 943 | 54% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 999 | 54% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1096 | 42% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 975 | 935 | 56% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1176 | 39% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1248 | 1143 | 65% | 2017-11-15 | Lost |
| 806 | 1226 | 8% | 2017-07-12 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1143 | 65% | 2015-12-04 | Lost |
| 968 | 1138 | 27% | 2015-09-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1019 | 53% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1017 | 950 | 60% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1005 | 49% | 2014-03-04 | Lost |
| 934 | 871 | 59% | 2012-03-04 | Won |
| 871 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1020 | 44% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2010-08-19 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2010-07-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 984 | 61% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
| 991 | 1248 | 19% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-01-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 1050 | 51% | 2009-01-25 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1277 | 20% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2008-04-22 | Lost |
| 996 | 1416 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1028 | 49% | 2008-03-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1099 | 34% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 933 | 1039 | 35% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1024.9 vs 1057.9 has a 45.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).