Eviction Notice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 201 (33 on the archive and 168 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 90
Defender wins (German): 111
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1009 | 986 | 53% | 2024-01-25 | Lost |
911 | 925 | 48% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
994 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
1041 | 998 | 56% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
1109 | 1037 | 60% | 2018-10-11 | Won |
1005 | 890 | 66% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
966 | 941 | 54% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
1041 | 1115 | 40% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
1049 | 1128 | 39% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
976 | 994 | 47% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-11-15 | Lost |
849 | 1225 | 10% | 2017-07-12 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2015-12-04 | Lost |
968 | 1137 | 27% | 2015-09-25 | Lost |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
897 | 977 | 39% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
998 | 1003 | 49% | 2014-03-04 | Lost |
935 | 869 | 59% | 2012-03-04 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
979 | 1019 | 44% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-08-19 | Won |
989 | 984 | 51% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
992 | 984 | 51% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
997 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-01-30 | Won |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-04-22 | Lost |
979 | 1360 | 10% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
1036 | 1063 | 46% | 2008-03-30 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1003.4 vs 1047.5 has a 43.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).