Eviction Notice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 994 | 52% | 2024-01-25 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1148 | 31% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 1053 | 997 | 58% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 994 | 977 | 52% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 1064 | 944 | 67% | 2021-01-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1034 | 65% | 2018-10-11 | Won |
| 1005 | 854 | 70% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 968 | 943 | 54% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1094 | 42% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1168 | 37% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 976 | 966 | 51% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2017-11-15 | Lost |
| 849 | 1223 | 10% | 2017-07-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2015-12-04 | Lost |
| 968 | 1137 | 27% | 2015-09-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 898 | 937 | 44% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1004 | 49% | 2014-03-04 | Lost |
| 933 | 870 | 59% | 2012-03-04 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 977 | 1018 | 44% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 851 | 72% | 2010-08-19 | Won |
| 1022 | 984 | 55% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
| 992 | 948 | 56% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-01-30 | Won |
| 1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-04-22 | Lost |
| 976 | 1400 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1063 | 46% | 2008-03-30 | Won |
| 973 | 1110 | 31% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 934 | 1043 | 35% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1050.8 has a 43.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).