ASL Scenario Archive

Eviction Notice

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (Russian): 17

Defender wins (German): 22

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
966	969	50%	2025-03-02	Won
1143	1143	50%	2025-02-20	Lost
1008	1032	47%	2024-01-25	Lost
904	1210	15%	2024-01-15	Lost
1025	1025	50%	2022-03-12	Won
994	994	50%	2022-03-12	Won
1082	927	71%	2021-01-21	Won
1127	1113	52%	2019-03-19	Lost
1219	1035	74%	2018-10-11	Won
1005	869	69%	2018-07-07	Won
1061	973	62%	2018-06-23	Won
967	942	54%	2018-05-12	Lost
1054	957	64%	2018-05-05	Lost
1039	1094	42%	2018-03-20	Lost
1086	1175	37%	2017-11-19	Won
976	930	57%	2017-11-19	Lost
1032	1207	27%	2017-11-15	Lost
831	1223	9%	2017-07-12	Lost
1032	1207	27%	2015-12-04	Lost
968	1137	27%	2015-09-25	Lost
1038	1020	53%	2014-12-05	Lost
899	966	40%	2014-03-29	Won
998	1004	49%	2014-03-04	Lost
933	870	59%	2012-03-04	Won
870	1098	21%	2011-01-27	Won
977	1018	44%	2010-10-30	Lost
1086	1018	60%	2010-08-24	Lost
1018	852	72%	2010-08-19	Won
931	1015	38%	2010-07-01	Won
1038	984	58%	2010-01-16	Lost
992	1032	44%	2009-05-03	Lost
997	1000	50%	2009-01-30	Won
1029	1259	21%	2008-10-08	Lost
1096	1098	50%	2008-05-17	Won
1098	1096	50%	2008-04-22	Lost
977	1407	8%	2008-04-12	Lost
1036	1029	51%	2008-03-30	Won
980	1109	32%	2008-02-22	Won
933	1043	35%	2008-01-18	Lost

Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1011.4 vs 1053.3 has a 44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).