Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 986 | 63% | 2016-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2016-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 692 | 90% | 2015-06-10 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2014-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2013-06-09 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-01-02 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1201 | 27% | 2008-05-15 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1028.2 vs 1031.4 has a 49.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).