Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1134 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1122 | 40% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 756 | 86% | 2015-06-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 929 | 69% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 885 | 68% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1091 | 52% | 2009-01-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1045.2 has a 50.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).