Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 1123 | 36% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1027 | 980 | 57% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1074 | 756 | 86% | 2015-06-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 928 | 69% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 910 | 75% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | Won |
| 1103 | 1092 | 52% | 2009-01-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1036.4 has a 51.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).