The Last Fifteen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2023-12-15 | Won |
| 879 | 1031 | 29% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 898 | 937 | 44% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1067 | 40% | 2013-02-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 994.3 vs 1042.6 has a 43.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).