The Last Fifteen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-12-15 | Won |
| 876 | 1070 | 25% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 996 | 1071 | 39% | 2013-02-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1041 | 1263 | 22% | 2009-07-03 | Won |
| 1195 | 1060 | 69% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1075.1 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).