The Last Fifteen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 748 | 1017 | 18% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2023-12-15 | Won |
| 878 | 1125 | 19% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 899 | 993 | 37% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1066 | 40% | 2013-02-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 974.4 vs 1064.8 has a 37.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).