Khopka's Crossing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (17 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 59
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2019-05-28 | Lost |
| 1118 | 876 | 80% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1177 | 998 | 74% | 2017-07-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 1228 | 20% | 2014-07-18 | Lost |
| 995 | 1067 | 40% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 877 | 74% | 2013-06-08 | Lost |
| 931 | 1060 | 32% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-06-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2008-06-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-04-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2008-04-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1146 | 35% | 2008-03-01 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1086 | 40% | 2008-02-17 | Won |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2006-04-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1052.6 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).