Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Chinese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2024-11-05 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1042 | 42% | 2024-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-09-27 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-10-31 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-06-14 | | Won |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2016-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2016-04-23 | | Won |
| 786 | 1226 | 7% | 2016-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-05-14 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1041 | 78% | 2010-11-07 | | Won |
| 1080 | 970 | 65% | 2009-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2008-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 959 | 90% | 2008-02-10 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2008-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2008-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1054.6 has a 49.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).