Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (18 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 35
Defender wins (Chinese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 869 | 924 | 42% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 989 | 1041 | 43% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1093 | 53% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1090 | 46% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1204 | 1079 | 67% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 854 | 898 | 44% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 794 | 1226 | 8% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1019 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1073 | 962 | 65% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2009-04-27 | Won |
| 1013 | 1037 | 47% | 2008-02-26 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1056 | 84% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1181 | 1037 | 70% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1045.5 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).