Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (17 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 40
Defender wins (Chinese): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 900 | 48% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1083 | 54% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1091 | 46% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1079 | 65% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 854 | 998 | 30% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 806 | 1226 | 8% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1019 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 960 | 71% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1122 | 40% | 2009-04-27 | Won |
| 1324 | 1056 | 82% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1036 | 55% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1050.8 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).