Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (21 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 37
Defender wins (Chinese): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 925 | 42% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 989 | 1041 | 43% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1086 | 54% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1090 | 48% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1201 | 1079 | 67% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 854 | 879 | 46% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 954 | 1283 | 13% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1283 | 17% | 2016-04-23 | Won |
| 786 | 1226 | 7% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1019 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1283 | 1040 | 80% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1097 | 969 | 68% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1120 | 43% | 2009-04-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1066 | 48% | 2008-02-26 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1056 | 84% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1248 | 1066 | 74% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.5 vs 1075.6 has a 48.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).