Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (17 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2025-06-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2021-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2021-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1108 | 45% | 2019-09-03 | | Won |
| 1222 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2017-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2014-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-06-12 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1101 | 35% | 2013-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2010-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2010-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2010-03-15 | | Tied |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2008-03-07 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2008-02-06 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1075.1 has a 44.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).