Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 988 | 60% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1096 | 47% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1048 | 72% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1052 | 45% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1100 | 45% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 891 | 82% | 2010-11-06 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1329 | 28% | 2010-08-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 1110 | 36% | 2010-03-15 | Tied |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2008-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1066.1 vs 1087.6 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).