Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 989 | 57% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 947 | 995 | 43% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 983 | 79% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1052 | 45% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1123 | 36% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1101 | 45% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 890 | 81% | 2010-11-06 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1252 | 38% | 2010-08-04 | Won |
| 972 | 1058 | 38% | 2010-03-15 | Tied |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1260 | 25% | 2008-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1078.7 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).