Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 989 | 60% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 949 | 51% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 1044 | 73% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 889 | 82% | 2010-11-06 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1333 | 28% | 2010-08-04 | Won |
| 1009 | 1075 | 41% | 2010-03-15 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1107 | 37% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 1204 | 25% | 2008-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1083.3 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).