Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1009 | 54% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1094 | 47% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 927 | 84% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1098 | 42% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1316 | 30% | 2010-08-04 | Won |
| 924 | 1110 | 26% | 2010-03-15 | Tied |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2008-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1096.8 has a 43.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).