The Ceramic Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1242 | 38% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Tied |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1133 | 32% | 2010-09-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-09-17 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1075 | 79% | 2009-07-27 | Tied |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2009-05-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1091 | 45% | 2008-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1099.1 has a 42.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).