The Ceramic Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (10 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
965 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-09-21 | Tied |
1008 | 1010 | 50% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
966 | 966 | 50% | 2010-09-06 | Won |
1097 | 1118 | 47% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
1118 | 1097 | 53% | 2009-09-17 | Lost |
1176 | 1060 | 66% | 2009-07-27 | Tied |
995 | 1118 | 33% | 2009-05-30 | Lost |
1009 | 962 | 57% | 2008-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1036.8 has a 50.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).