Waltzing the Matildas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2024-10-08 | Lost |
| 1151 | 912 | 80% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1115 | 56% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 901 | 1413 | 5% | 2015-05-06 | Lost |
| 871 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 694 | 1118 | 8% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 963 | 58% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 987.1 vs 1071.1 has a 38.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).