Second Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2024-10-20 | Lost |
| 1203 | 755 | 93% | 2024-07-01 | Won |
| 929 | 945 | 48% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 905 | 86% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1093 | 40% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1003 | 51% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-04-20 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1147 | 1161 | 48% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 1031 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).