Stubborn Ferdinand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (8 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 860 | 74% | 2025-11-21 | Won |
| 1198 | 914 | 84% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1256 | 953 | 85% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1014 | 80% | 2019-06-21 | Won |
| 1081 | 1303 | 22% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 1090 | 42% | 2009-05-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1058 | 51% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 1250 | 932 | 86% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1147 vs 1015.5 has a 68.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).