Stubborn Ferdinand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (8 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 837 | 73% | 2025-11-21 | | Won |
| 1149 | 947 | 76% | 2022-11-12 | | Won |
| 1292 | 953 | 88% | 2022-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1292 | 1013 | 83% | 2019-06-21 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1310 | 19% | 2011-02-25 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1062 | 52% | 2008-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2008-08-30 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1112.9 vs 1026.4 has a 62.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).