A Pleasant Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1189 | 32% | 2025-03-29 | Won |
| 1010 | 1015 | 49% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2023-01-16 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1023 | 1014 | 51% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1023 | 49% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 1257 | 35% | 2015-09-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 1054 | 36% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2013-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1333 | 22% | 2011-11-20 | Lost |
| 1096 | 988 | 65% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 1009 | 43% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1039 | 49% | 2010-01-12 | Won |
| 906 | 1151 | 20% | 2009-10-26 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1081 | 60% | 2009-08-31 | Lost |
| 872 | 974 | 36% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
| 1333 | 1060 | 83% | 2009-01-03 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1055.4 has a 46.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).