A Pleasant Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1015 | 71% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 965 | 1031 | 41% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1031 | 965 | 59% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
| 1308 | 871 | 93% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1216 | 47% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 1227 | 26% | 2015-09-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 1074 | 33% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2013-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1235 | 33% | 2011-11-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 988 | 58% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 979 | 1104 | 33% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1039 | 50% | 2010-01-12 | Won |
| 913 | 1064 | 30% | 2009-10-26 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1081 | 45% | 2009-08-31 | Lost |
| 871 | 947 | 39% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
| 1235 | 1225 | 51% | 2009-01-03 | Tied |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1052.6 has a 46.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).