A Cross in Gold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1035 | 67% | 2026-04-06 | Won |
| 1313 | 1263 | 57% | 2026-01-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1159 | 32% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 998 | 64% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1131 | 35% | 2023-01-04 | Won |
| 993 | 1018 | 46% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1121 | 1038 | 62% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1121 | 1116 | 51% | 2015-07-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1031 | 65% | 2009-10-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1107.2 vs 1094.2 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).