A Cross in Gold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1153 | 38% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1112 | 48% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1109 | 37% | 2023-01-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 1037 | 66% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1172 | 47% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1151 | 1105 | 57% | 2015-07-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2009-10-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 1024 | 1062 | 45% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1102.6 vs 1092.9 has a 51.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).