Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 899 | 1043 | 30% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 927 | 1000 | 40% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1038 | 1074 | 45% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 908 | 1012 | 35% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 971 | 779 | 75% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1008 | 949 | 58% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1074 | 56% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1096 | 43% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1050 | 57% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1096 | 41% | 2009-10-06 | Won |
| 1006 | 980 | 54% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1003.8 vs 1012.8 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).