Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1084 | 40% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 917 | 1043 | 33% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 997 | 913 | 62% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 1103 | 50% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1282 | 17% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 879 | 59% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1147 | 42% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1103 | 51% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1151 | 41% | 2009-10-06 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1091.3 has a 42.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).