Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1084 | 43% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 904 | 958 | 42% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 889 | 64% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 1073 | 54% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1217 | 34% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 901 | 56% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1092 | 1176 | 38% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1140 | 42% | 2009-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1077.9 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).