First to Fastov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (3 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
991 | 988 | 50% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
991 | 988 | 50% | 2011-01-15 | Won |
1062 | 1037 | 54% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1004.3 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).