Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (16 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 44
Defender wins (Italian): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
980 | 967 | 52% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
950 | 1284 | 13% | 2018-03-12 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-09-03 | Won |
1063 | 980 | 62% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2016-04-19 | Lost |
1307 | 1323 | 48% | 2013-06-13 | Won |
1307 | 1159 | 70% | 2013-04-12 | Won |
1068 | 1083 | 48% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
1142 | 1112 | 54% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
989 | 1153 | 28% | 2010-12-15 | Lost |
917 | 1307 | 10% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
1135 | 1062 | 60% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
982 | 1030 | 43% | 2009-01-25 | Lost |
1012 | 1083 | 40% | 2008-10-11 | Lost |
925 | 1011 | 38% | 2008-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1112.6 has a 42.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).