Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (31 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (Russian): 78
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1169 | 1327 | 29% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
1176 | 1169 | 51% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
1142 | 1156 | 48% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
929 | 920 | 51% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
992 | 1012 | 47% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
992 | 1063 | 40% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
1284 | 1049 | 79% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
1204 | 856 | 88% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
1095 | 958 | 69% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
1068 | 1180 | 34% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
925 | 1039 | 34% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
1109 | 1016 | 63% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
1059 | 1108 | 43% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1138 | 989 | 70% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
1176 | 1080 | 63% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
1018 | 925 | 63% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
994 | 1029 | 45% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
1062 | 890 | 73% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
1010 | 1013 | 50% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
1131 | 1037 | 63% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
1096 | 1050 | 57% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1051.1 has a 54.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).