Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 987 | 62% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1132 | 1216 | 38% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1132 | 52% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1185 | 44% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1014 | 953 | 59% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 1030 | 53% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1003 | 47% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1022 | 76% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 1049 | 73% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1167 | 858 | 86% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1212 | 30% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1118 | 968 | 70% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 1009 | 48% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1047 | 73% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1183 | 1038 | 70% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 949 | 1060 | 35% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 914 | 73% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 1078 | 57% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1122 | 1083 | 56% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1143 | 1080 | 59% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 968 | 1048 | 39% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1256 | 1152 | 65% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1105 | 1163 | 42% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1084 | 893 | 75% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1029 | 50% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1088 | 56% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 1216 | 28% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1092.9 vs 1055.7 has a 55.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).