Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 987 | 62% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1134 | 1207 | 40% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1134 | 53% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1162 | 47% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1063 | 1027 | 55% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1028 | 43% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1049 | 73% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1196 | 32% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 924 | 77% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1008 | 54% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1047 | 63% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1198 | 1038 | 72% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1049 | 1070 | 47% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1065 | 914 | 70% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 1081 | 60% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 924 | 999 | 39% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1141 | 35% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1254 | 1152 | 64% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 893 | 74% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 907 | 1029 | 33% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 947 | 1025 | 39% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1091 | 56% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1038 | 59% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1141 | 31% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1087.8 vs 1047.1 has a 55.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).