Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 987 | 62% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1133 | 1162 | 46% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1133 | 51% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1203 | 41% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1053 | 1030 | 53% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1037 | 42% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1013 | 77% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1216 | 1049 | 72% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 978 | 67% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1164 | 853 | 86% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1218 | 30% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1058 | 58% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1009 | 55% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1046 | 67% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1138 | 1038 | 64% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1073 | 33% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 914 | 71% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 1100 | 53% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1143 | 1080 | 59% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1038 | 53% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1169 | 31% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1255 | 1138 | 66% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 893 | 75% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1003 | 1029 | 46% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 1083 | 38% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 866 | 72% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 975 | 1025 | 43% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 1037 | 59% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 1169 | 32% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1055.5 has a 55.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).