Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 938 | 72% | 2026-03-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 987 | 61% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1227 | 1241 | 48% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1227 | 43% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1193 | 44% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1109 | 39% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1060 | 39% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 975 | 81% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1218 | 1051 | 72% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1221 | 30% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1051 | 55% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 1003 | 43% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1036 | 73% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1099 | 1033 | 59% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1070 | 33% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 925 | 71% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1133 | 1146 | 48% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1180 | 1083 | 64% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1150 | 47% | 2010-05-02 | Won |
| 1051 | 1060 | 49% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1206 | 27% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2010-01-03 | Won |
| 1275 | 1141 | 68% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1167 | 893 | 83% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1233 | 36% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 866 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 1156 | 1034 | 67% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1043 | 63% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1206 | 30% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1097 | 81% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1108.9 vs 1070.1 has a 55.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).