Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 156 (40 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 84
Defender wins (Russian): 72
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 938 | 77% | 2026-03-06 | | Won |
| 1068 | 987 | 61% | 2025-07-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2023-07-28 | A | Lost |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2023-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1188 | 25% | 2021-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2021-09-08 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-06-06 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1059 | 39% | 2020-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 963 | 82% | 2020-04-23 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 850 | 85% | 2017-02-18 | | Won |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2016-10-30 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1241 | 27% | 2016-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1003 | 57% | 2015-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1184 | 1000 | 74% | 2015-03-15 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1033 | 64% | 2014-11-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 925 | 71% | 2011-11-26 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1147 | 50% | 2011-03-22 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-12-06 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2010-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1151 | 47% | 2010-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2010-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1184 | 26% | 2010-02-15 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2010-01-03 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1141 | 68% | 2009-12-04 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2009-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2009-10-24 | | Won |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2009-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2009-09-20 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2009-08-09 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-08-07 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1034 | 63% | 2009-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2009-07-11 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-05-27 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1184 | 28% | 2009-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2009-02-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1101.5 vs 1042.4 has a 58.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).