Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 941 | 62% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 1173 | 1158 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1007 | 974 | 55% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 947 | 1045 | 36% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 907 | 907 | 50% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
| 955 | 1071 | 34% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 907 | 907 | 50% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1055 | 63% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1124 | 48% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 938 | 947 | 49% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1216 | 1193 | 53% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1055 | 72% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 853 | 1114 | 18% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 853 | 1114 | 18% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 933 | 1067 | 32% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1022 | 1004 | 53% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
| 1021 | 947 | 60% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 973 | 1031 | 42% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 940 | 947 | 49% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1044.9 has a 46.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).