Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (31 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Polish): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1080 | 42% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 855 | 72% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 1178 | 1092 | 62% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 954 | 933 | 53% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1045 | 36% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 933 | 954 | 47% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1076 | 65% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1122 | 51% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 939 | 1045 | 35% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1216 | 1125 | 63% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 992 | 1079 | 38% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 992 | 1079 | 38% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 875 | 1071 | 24% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2011-02-06 | Won |
| 1130 | 1003 | 68% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1045 | 49% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 961 | 1073 | 34% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1045 | 35% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1054.6 has a 48.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).