Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (22 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Polish): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
991 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
1072 | 1013 | 58% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
1013 | 1072 | 42% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
1088 | 1072 | 52% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
938 | 991 | 42% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
1284 | 1147 | 69% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
934 | 1068 | 32% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
1115 | 1145 | 46% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
989 | 1004 | 48% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
1032 | 991 | 56% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
956 | 1108 | 29% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
939 | 991 | 43% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1017.8 vs 1052.6 has a 45.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).