Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1219 | 50% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 992 | 79% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1219 | 32% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1217 | 980 | 80% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 963 | 966 | 50% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 980 | 1114 | 32% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1097.2 vs 1094.2 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).