Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 947 | 78% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1208 | 1217 | 49% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1217 | 44% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1217 | 993 | 78% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1101 | 48% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1226 | 22% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 948 | 55% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1007 | 80% | 2018-12-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1177 | 977 | 76% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 958 | 903 | 58% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1068 | 42% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1114 | 60% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 977 | 1086 | 35% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1104.2 vs 1078.5 has a 53.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).