The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-04-27 | Won |
| 1147 | 1148 | 50% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1012 | 53% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
| 1036 | 1093 | 42% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1131 | 963 | 72% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1163 | 1211 | 43% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 907 | 68% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1079 | 1020 | 58% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 930 | 1021 | 37% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
| 1128 | 1087 | 56% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 963 | 1127 | 28% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 993 | 53% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 1105 | 1002 | 64% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1017 | 49% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1046 | 45% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 930 | 66% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1226 | 51% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
| 1230 | 958 | 83% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1028 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 886 | 1211 | 13% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 882 | 886 | 49% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1019 | 1002 | 52% | 2005-05-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1002 | 52% | 2005-05-21 | Won |
| 1002 | 1019 | 48% | 2004-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1035.8 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).