The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 983 | 49% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
| 946 | 1091 | 30% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 987 | 53% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1099 | 951 | 70% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1165 | 1128 | 55% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1080 | 1100 | 47% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 961 | 1037 | 39% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
| 1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 993 | 56% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 995 | 1001 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1038 | 46% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1290 | 19% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1181 | 34% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
| 1062 | 956 | 65% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1029 | 52% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 968 | 1018 | 43% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 883 | 968 | 38% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1049.1 has a 46.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).