The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 962 | 983 | 47% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
| 948 | 1092 | 30% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1005 | 986 | 53% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 951 | 68% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1163 | 1164 | 50% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1080 | 1062 | 53% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 962 | 1038 | 39% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 993 | 57% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 973 | 1002 | 46% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1286 | 19% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1102 | 45% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
| 1064 | 958 | 65% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 883 | 1064 | 26% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1051.6 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).