Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (6 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 24
Defender wins (German (SS)): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1176 | 37% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 971 | 1274 | 15% | 2013-12-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1126 | 1086 | 56% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 995 | 53% | 2010-06-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.7 vs 1102.3 has a 38.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).