Norman "D"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 950 | 970 | 47% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 957 | 1000 | 44% | 2016-10-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 957 | 62% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-04-04 | Won |
| 923 | 1000 | 39% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-03-28 | Won |
| 856 | 1198 | 12% | 2009-06-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 986 vs 1016.7 has a 45.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).