Norman "D"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (21 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1229 | 959 | 83% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 975 | 1194 | 22% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 1081 | 950 | 68% | 2026-01-30 | Won |
| 1141 | 1204 | 41% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1117 | 56% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1042 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1077 | 43% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1121 | 34% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 969 | 1058 | 37% | 2016-10-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1026 | 54% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1215 | 1253 | 45% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1126 | 37% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 981 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1035 | 902 | 68% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1096 | 1120 | 47% | 2013-04-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
| 1071 | 967 | 65% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 1015 | 1081 | 41% | 2010-03-28 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2009-06-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1066.3 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).